KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: 41.1 to 41.3 (99%)
Résolu: 17 juil. 2026, 17:07
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Probabilité implicite actuelle
41.1 to 41.3 82.5%+65.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
31,4 k €
Liquidité
203,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 46 jours
Obsolète10 juil. 26, 15:0017 juil. 26, 15:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
40.5 to 40.714%
39.9 to 40.11%
40.8 to 41.09%
39.6 to 39.82%
41.1 to 41.399%
Above 41.34%
40.2 to 40.42%
82.5%
7.5%
3.3%
3.3%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
0.8%
Règles
If the President's approval rating is the named outcome% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.6 and 39.8% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 39.9 and 40.1% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.2 and 40.4% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President's approval rating is between 40.5 and 40.7% at 11:00 AM ET on July 17, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
