Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?
Politique américaineOne-OffIAGéopolitique2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Before Jan 1, 2028 · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Before Jan 1, 2028 56%En tête parmi 4 options
Before Jan 1, 2028 56%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
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Intérêt ouvert
1,4 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Before Jan 1, 2028Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
28 sept. 26, 20:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Before Jan 1, 2028
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Règles
If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The designation refers to the Department of War's supply-chain-risk designations of Anthropic under 41 U.S.C. 4713 and 10 U.S.C. 3252. An action qualifies only if, as a result, the Department of War or its contractors are permitted to use Anthropic's AI models or services in Department of War work. A rescission qualifies only if no designation then bars that use. A waiver or modification that permits such use for some Department of War programs or contractors qualifies, as does an official Department of War or White House authorization permitting any Department of War component or contractor to use an Anthropic AI model in Department of War work, even if a designation otherwise remains in effect. An action that permits use only by civilian federal agencies does not qualify. A court ruling alone does not qualify unless the Department of War or the White House officially announces an action that permits such use.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Department of War or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit the Department of War or its contractors to use Anthropic's AI models or services before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
