Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection5mo
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleBefore Jan 1, 2027 32%
Qualite du marche
50 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
447,4 €
Liquidité
1,7 k €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
29.0% / 33.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
4 juin 26, 20:001 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Before Jan 1, 202732%
Comparer les plateformes· Before Jan 1, 2027
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 32% | — | 447,4 € | 1,7 k € | il y a 22 minutes | |
 PolymarketLa plus active80% de correspondance · vérifié | Faible | 19% | — | 507,5 € | 1,7 k € | il y a 2 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by which date?
13.2 ptsFermés
+13.2pt19%
-1.6pt0%
0%
45 • Faible qualitéSpread largeFaible liquidité
Volume total358,6 k €
Volume 24h507,5 €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
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If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
- The action must be publicly announced or documented by a Source Agency before expiration.
- If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.