How low will the 2-year US Treasury yield get in Nov 2026?
7.0 pts (24h)Obligations et bons du TrésorOne-Off28j
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
4.37% or below · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
4.37% or below 39%En tête parmi 30 options
4.37% or below 39%Qualité du marché
53 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
354,3 €
Intérêt ouvert
453 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
4.37% or belowÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
1 nov. 26, 04:00 UTC30 nov. 26, 20:30 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 1h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · 4.37% or below
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiHow low will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Nov 30, 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.38% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- How this is resolved This market covers the period between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2. Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period. If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
Règles de chaque résultat
- 4.37% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.38% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.66% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.67% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.65% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.66% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.64% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.65% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.63% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.64% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.62% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.63% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.61% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.62% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.6% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.61% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.59% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.60% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.58% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.59% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.57% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.58% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.56% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.57% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.55% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.56% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.54% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.55% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.53% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.54% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.52% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.53% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.51% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.52% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.5% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.51% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.49% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.50% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.48% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.49% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.47% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.48% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.46% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.47% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.45% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.46% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.44% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.45% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.43% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.44% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.42% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.43% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.41% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.42% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.4% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.41% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.39% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.40% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.38% or below
- If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S. Treasury is below 4.39% on any business day between Nov 1, 2026 and Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.