KalshiFerméVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: Above 4.93% (99%)
Preuves de résolution limitées
CoinRithm peut afficher le résultat enregistré, mais tous les champs de règlement ne sont pas vérifiés par le fournisseur.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 26 oct. 2026, 16:21 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
Above 5.03%1%
Above 4.93%99%
Above 5.05%1%
Above 4.94%99%
Above 5.01%1%
Above 5.02%1%
Above 4.91%0%
Above 4.92%0%
Above 4.95%96%
Above 4.96%0%
Above 4.97%0%
Above 4.98%0%
Above 4.99%0%
Above 5.00%0%
Above 5.04%0%
Above 4.93%Gagné
Above 4.94%Perdu
Above 4.95%Perdu
Above 5.03%Perdu
Above 5.05%Perdu
Above 5.01%Perdu
Above 5.02%Perdu
Above 4.91%Perdu
Above 4.92%Perdu
Above 4.96%Perdu
Above 4.97%Perdu
Above 4.98%Perdu
Above 4.99%Perdu
Above 5.00%Perdu
Above 5.04%Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
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PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Treasury issue a new General License authorizing broad oil operations in Venezuela in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
Manifold MarketsActifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Pyth - 10Y UST
- Settlement uses the closing Pyth yield of the one-minute candlestick immediately preceding the settlement time. For a 1:00pm ET observation, use the 12:59pm candle, covering 12:59:00pm up to but excluding 1:00:00pm ET. No averaging applies. The closing Pyth yield, expressed as a percentage, is rounded to five decimal places using round-half-up before comparison with the strike. Other sources and stale or carried-forward values cannot substitute. If reliable data is unavailable by expiration, or none is expected, settlement is at the Exchange-determined last fair price, unless a "No data" strike is listed. Corrections, expiration and Rule 7.1 review follow the full contract rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with Pyth.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 4.93%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.93% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.94%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.94% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.95%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.95% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.03%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.03% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.05%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.05% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.01%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.01% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.02%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.02% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.91%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.91% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.92%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.92% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.96%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.96% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.97%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.97% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.98%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.98% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 4.99%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 4.99% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.00%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.00% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 5.04%
- If the Pyth security yield for the 10-Year U.S. Treasury Note is above 5.04% at Oct 26, 2026 at 1:00pm ET, the market resolves to Yes.