Which world leaders will leave office in 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffMiddle EastRussia / UkraineChinaEurope4mo
GeminiKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Viktor Orbán 100%En tête parmi 35 options
Qualite du marche
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
85,6 €
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
8 avr. 26, 20:341 janv. 27, 0:00
Tendances
Règles
For each listed world leader, this market resolves Yes if they officially announce their intention to leave office or actually leave office before Jan 1, 2027.
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of New Zealand or has actually left Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that they will be departing the office, and it must be reported by at least one source agency.
- Temporary absences do not count.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fdfcbcea26386499c8181c18ff010cbcc?alt=media&token=89aa4090-3ce9-416e-a552-f8a535b684d5&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Keir Starmer 100% · 2 plateformes · bande de 0 pt
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Which leaders will leave office in 2026? · Keir Starmer 100%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
