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Données au 10 sept. 2026, 09:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Francesca Albanese 99%En tête parmi 19 options
Qualité du marché
22 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
—
Liquidité inconnueTraders
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
10 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC9 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will nobelprize.org list someone besides Machado under 2025 Nobel Peace Prize by EOY?
Manifold MarketsNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Polymarket2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Kalshi🕊️Which person or organization will win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? [ADD RESPONSES]
Manifold MarketsWill the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026 be related to the Palestine conflict?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- This market will resolve to YES if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) wins the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize.
- If the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize is jointly awarded to multiple people and/or organizations, this contract will resolve to YES for Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) if Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is one of the named laureates.
- If Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) is not named as a 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate, this market will resolve to NO.
- The primary resolution source will be the official Nobel Prize/Norwegian Nobel Committee announcement for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize, currently scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026.
- If no 2026 Nobel Peace Prize laureate is announced by December 31, 2026, the market will resolve based on the latest official statement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee, or to NO if no laureate is awarded.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 · Yulia Navalnaya 8%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner · Save the Children 16%
Marchés ouverts
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- $10M+1.1pt100%
- $25M+3.5pt99%
- $50M+7.9pt99%
+11 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
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- Republican Party16%
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- D-House, R-Senate36.6%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt14.8%
+1 résultats de plus
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- James Talarico+2.0pt49.5%
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POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Benjamin Netanyahu+1.0pt29.5%
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+16 résultats de plus
KALSHITX-15 House winner?
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- Monica De La Cruz-4.0pt42%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 ?
- Gemini cote Francesca Albanese à 99% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 sera-t-il résolu ?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 doit être résolu le 9 octobre 2026.
- Comment Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 est-il réglé ?
- Gemini règle ce marché comme suit : Nobel Peace Prize winner 2026?
- Où Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, Kalshi.