FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 92%
Non 92%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
688,3 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
13
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Greenland become independent from Denmark before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill Québec become an independent nation, separate from Canada, by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWho will control the House?
KalshiRègles
This event predicts whether Greenland will become an independent sovereign state at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, independence means Greenland formally ceasing to be part of the Kingdom of Denmark and being recognized by its own authorities as a sovereign state.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official declarations or legally binding acts by Greenlandic and Danish authorities confirming independence.
- If Greenland formally declares and implements independence from Denmark during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Referendums or negotiations alone, without formal independence taking effect, will not count.
