FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 92%
Oui 92%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
729,7 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will succeed John Swinney as First Minister of Scotland?
Manifold MarketsWhen will John Swinney be replaced as First Minister?
Manifold MarketsWho will be First Minister of Scotland at some point in their life?
Manifold MarketsScotland independent from the UK by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Scotland leave the UK by 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether John Swinney will remain in office as First Minister of Scotland through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Scottish Government announcements confirming the First Minister.
- If John Swinney officially remains First Minister through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If he resigns, is removed, or is replaced before that date, the market will resolve to "No" at the moment of the official announcement.
- Temporary leaves of absence will not affect resolution as long as he officially retains the position.