Hibatullah Akhundzada still Taliban’s Supreme Commander through the end of 2026?
One-OffAsie du Sud2mois
FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiéesProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 91%
Oui 91%Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
856,9 €
Faible liquiditéTraders
6
Commentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the next leader of Afghanistan after Hibatullah Akhundzada?
Manifold MarketsIf Chelsea Voss were to 1v1 Domenic Denicola in Supreme Commander: FA, would she win?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a major uprising against Taliban government in Afghanistan by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?
Manifold MarketsKathmandu Mayoral Election Winner
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
This event predicts whether Hibatullah Akhundzada will remain in power as the Taliban’s supreme leader (Emir) through December 31, 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Taliban communications and widely recognized governmental/international reporting identifying the Taliban’s supreme leader.
- If Hibatullah Akhundzada is still recognized as the Taliban’s supreme leader through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Temporary absences will not affect resolution as long as he is officially recognized as leader.
- If leadership is disputed or official Taliban statements are unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major international news organizations.