Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94%
Prévisionnistes
6
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 févr. 26, 07:41 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Donald Trump and Narendra Modi meet in person in year 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?
Manifold MarketsModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves “Yes" if India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, is out of power for any length of time between February 18 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prime Minister Narendra Modi will be considered out of power if he announces his resignation, is dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position before the year is over.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
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- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Narendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Narendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Narendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Narendra Modi out as Indian Prime Minister before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves “Yes" if India's Prime Minister, Narendra Modi, is out of power for any length of time between February 18 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.