PredictItCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución no verificadosRetail prediction exchange
Datos de resolución no verificados: 39.9% to 40.1% (97%)
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 11 sept 2026, 15:00 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Cronología de Probabilidad
39.9% to 40.1%3%
38.9% or lower58%
39.0% to 39.2%1%
39.3% to 39.5%3%
39.6% to 39.8%1%
40.2% to 40.4%1%
40.5% to 40.7%1%
40.8% to 40.1%4%
41.1% or higher3%
39.9% to 40.1%Resultado pendiente
38.9% or lowerResultado pendiente
39.0% to 39.2%Resultado pendiente
39.3% to 39.5%Resultado pendiente
39.6% to 39.8%Resultado pendiente
40.2% to 40.4%Resultado pendiente
40.5% to 40.7%Resultado pendiente
40.8% to 40.1%Resultado pendiente
41.1% or higherResultado pendiente
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Trump's approval rating be higher on election day (Nov. 3, 2026) than it was in his first term (Nov. 6, 2018)?
Manifold MarketsHow low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
PolymarketHow low will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiHow high will Trump's approval rating get before 2027?
KalshiWill Donald Trump’s approval rating at the end of his second term be at least as low as Joe Biden’s?
Manifold MarketsReglas
The contract that resolves to Yes shall identify President Trump's average Decision Desk HQ job approval rating at the End Date listed below.
- The approval rating shall be drawn from the number stating "Approve," available upon launch of this market at https://votes.decisiondeskhq.com/polls/presidential-approval/donald-j-trump-5/national/lv-rv-adults ("the Settlement Source"), at the box labeled as "Approve," and rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent as shown on devices set to Eastern Time.
Any number displayed at the Settlement Source at the End Date other than the live number labeled "Approve" will be irrelevant for purposes of this market.
Should the Settlement Source be unavailable at the End Date, PredictIt will, at its sole discretion, await an update, select the most recent data point in the identified series or an alternate source, or construct its own polling average.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
End Date: 09/11/2026 11:00 AM (ET)