PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 18:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 96%+0.5pt
Calidad del mercado
47 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
12,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
3.0% / 5.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
5
Cambio 7d
-2.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 horas
Desactualizado4 feb 26, 22:3131 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying legislation or action must seek to grant continuing federal control over previously-localized (State-level or local-level) vote-counting, vote certification, or actual election-day voting in federal elections for jurisdictions in more than one state.
- Temporary federal support to local election authorities, or the execution of previously-recognized federal election duties, will not count.
- The primary resolution source will be official information from the United States federal government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abiertos
Politics
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- Seth Moulton-0.6pt0%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.4%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.3%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14.3%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 180,4 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.3pt39%
- Renan Santos+0.7pt3%
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POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 resultados más
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.2pt61%
- October 31+1.5pt39%
- September 30-1.0pt20%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Trump nationalize elections??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 96% a fecha de 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Trump nationalize elections??
- Está previsto que Will Trump nationalize elections? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Trump nationalize elections??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation into law or performs any executive action that creates new legal authority for the federal government to exercise direct administrative control over the previously-localized administration of federal elections by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.