Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Política
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (100%)
Resuelto: 22 abr 2026, 3:51
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actualSí 100%+0.2pt
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
0 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
-
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 106 días
Desactualizado26 feb 26, 23:0521 abr 26, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 106 días | |
 Kalshi80% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 82% | — | 0 € | 0 € | hace 97 días | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · vinculado | — | 100% | — | — | — | hace 96 días | Abrir → |
 PredictIt78% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 92% | — | — | — | hace 97 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (82%)
-1.0pt82%
18%
15 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total0 €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHITambién disponible en Manifold Markets
Will the Virginia Redistricting Referendum Pass?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (100%)
100%
0%
Pronóstico comunitario192 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en PredictIt
Will Virginia pass a redistricting referendum in 2026?
Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (92%)
+12.0pt92%
-12.0pt8%
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITReglas
Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Pending legal challenges, Virginia is scheduled to vote in a special election on April 21, 2026 over a referendum to amend the state constitution, allowing the Virginia General Assembly to redraw its congressional districts (see: https://www.elections.virginia.gov/election-law/proposed-amendment-for-april-2026-special-election/).
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if this proposed constitutional amendment is approved by a majority of valid votes cast in a statewide referendum by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is postponed prior to November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the referendum vote occurs and resolve based on the results of that vote.
- If this referendum vote is postponed after November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or, for any other reason the referendum vote does not take place by that time, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the referendum vote is definitively cancelled, with no opportunity to be rescheduled, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.