PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
December 31 3%-0.1pt
Calidad del mercado
59 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
163,5 €
Liquidez
4,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.7% / 3.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
15
Cambio 7d
-1.7 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
26 sept 25, 17:28 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
KalshiWill Elon Musk's Tesla release a super long-term battery or breakthrough energy technology that lasts months or years wi
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla release a car using solid-state battery technology by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIn what year will Tesla first release an electric van or minivan?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying product is a humanoid, bipedal robot intended for consumer use and newly introduced.
- Non-humanoid robotics, accessories, internal factory deployments, employee-only programs, and partner/enterprise pilots do not qualify.
- To be considered “released,” the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the timeframe via an official Tesla consumer channel (e.g., tesla.com) with a live checkout or paid preorder/deposit.
- Announcements, unveilings, demos, or waitlists with “register interest” pages without payment do not suffice.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 resultados más
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Tesla release Optimus by which date??
- Polymarket cotiza December 31 al 3% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Tesla release Optimus by which date??
- Está previsto que Will Tesla release Optimus by which date? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Tesla release Optimus by which date??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla releases a humanoid, bipedal robot (such as Optimus) by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.