Este mercado se resolvió: No
Evidencia de resolución limitada
CoinRithm puede mostrar el resultado registrado, pero no todos los campos de liquidación están verificados por el proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 123 días
Desactualizado12 ene 22, 0:0031 dic 22, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
This is a market on whether Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating, as per FiveThirtyEight, on any day of 2022.
- The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, (https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/), specifically, the approval rating indicated by the green trend line and the disapproval rating indicated by the orange line for the resolution date.
- This market will resolve to “Yes”, if for any day on or after January 1, 2022 and before January 1 2023, Joe Biden's approval rating by FiveThirtyEight is higher than the disapproval rating.
- Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- This market will resolve as soon as the outlined event occurs.
- The last check will be on January 1, 2023, 12:00 PM ET.
