Will DPP (民進黨) win a majority in the 2024 Taiwanese General Election?
Política
PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: No
Resuelto: 13 ene 2024, 17:16
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Probabilidad implícita actual
No 100%
Calidad del mercado
15 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconocidaDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 123 días
Desactualizado5 dic 23, 19:4513 ene 24, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes0%
No100%
100%
0%
Reglas
The 2024 Taiwanese general election is scheduled to take place on January 13, 2024.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the DPP (Democratic Progressive Party, 民進黨) wins a majority in the Legislative Yuan in the upcoming 2024 Taiwanese general election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, winning a majority means one party or coalition wins 57 or more seats out of the 113 in the Legislative Yuan.
- If the result of this election isn't known by October 31, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Taiwan (e.g. https://web.cec.gov.tw/english/cms/le), however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
