Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWeather7m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 81%-0.0%

Calidad del mercado

71 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

43,3 €

Liquidez

2,9 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Spread estrecho

Cambio 7d

-5.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

9 feb 26, 23:3110 ene 27, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes81%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

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Genevieve: 4%

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Natural Disaster in 2026?

37,4 €

Sí: 25%

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%

SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%

BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Reglas

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

1.0% (24h)One-OffWeather7m

PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Probabilidad implícita actual

Sí 81%-0.0%

Calidad del mercado

71 / 100

Calidad media

Volumen 24h

43,3 €

Liquidez

2,9 mil €

Liquidez media

Compra / Venta

80.0% / 82.0%

Spread

2.5%

Spread estrecho

Cambio 7d

-5.5%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

9 feb 26, 23:3110 ene 27, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes81%

Apuesta (USDT)

Reglas

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.

Mercados Relacionados

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

3,6 mil €

2: 63%

POLYMARKET

Highest monthly CO2 level at Mauna Loa in first half of 2026

849 €

432 or less: 0.4%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If AI kills everyone, how will it do it?

117,1 €

Engineered pandemic: 13.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the climate heat up more than 2.5°C before 2050?

84,5 €

Sí: 28.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Eastern Pacific this year?

40,8 €

Genevieve: 4%

KALSHI

Natural Disaster in 2026?

37,4 €

Sí: 25%

POLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,702.01+1.68%

EthereumETH$1,655.40+1.08%

SolanaSOL$65.06+0.76%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+0.94%

XRPXRP$1.12-0.20%

BNBBNB$596.31+1.29%

Reglas

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for any month of 2026 versus the data points available for all years for the relevant month on record.

If any month of 2026 is the hottest of that month for any year in record, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note: If any month of 2026 is tied for hottest with the same month of another year, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.