Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí 40%
Calidad del mercado
91 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
512,2 €
Liquidez
30,3 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
39.0% / 40.0%
Spread
2.6%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+1.0%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
12 may 26, 23:506 sept 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes40%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Alta | 61% | +21pt | 512,2 € | 30,3 mil € | hace 15 minutos | |
 Futuur82% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 55% | +15pt | 0 € | 1,8 mil € | hace 15 minutos | Abrir → |
 Manifold Markets88% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 47% | +7pt | — | — | hace 16 horas | Abrir → |
| Manifold Markets85% de coincidencia · verificado | — | 62% | +22pt | — | — | hace 17 horas | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Will the AfD win an absolute majority in the state election in Saxony-Anhalt in 2026
1m
53.4%
46.6%
Pronóstico comunitario18 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Manifold Markets
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
5m
62%
38%
Pronóstico comunitario45 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSTambién disponible en Futuur
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election?
1m
55%
45%
28 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total36,2 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURReglas
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$1.7k38.5%POLYMARKETYessdiff123hace 25 d
POLYMARKETYessdiff123hace 25 dTendencia de volumen
$5832 jul25d de datos26 jul
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.