PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Very severe
Resuelto: 30 oct 2026, 8:53
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Very severe
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
95%
ConsensoAviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 31 oct 2026, 4:06 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Very severe95%
Extremely severe2%
Super0%
Severe cyclonic storm or weaker0%
Very severeGanada
Extremely severePerdida
Severe cyclonic storm or weakerPerdida
SuperPerdida
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the peak intensity of Arnab.
- Peak intensity means the highest category of cyclonic disturbance that the Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for Tropical Cyclones, New Delhi (RSMC New Delhi), operated by the India Meteorological Department (IMD), assigns to Arnab's observed intensity in a Tropical Cyclone Advisory published for the storm.
- Exactly one outcome in this market will resolve to "Yes".
- RSMC New Delhi's own bounds, in 3-minute maximum sustained surface wind, are: "the named outcome" is under 64 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 64 to 89 kt, "the named outcome cyclonic storm" is 90 to 119 kt, and "Super cyclonic storm" is 120 kt or more.
- RSMC New Delhi states the category in the subject line of each Tropical Cyclone Advisory and in the first row of the advisory's forecast table, which gives the storm's intensity at the observation time the advisory is based on.
- Only that observed intensity will be considered.
