Trump alleges foreign election interference by July 16?
PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElecciónRussia / UkraineChina2d
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualSí 69%
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
43,9 €
Liquidez
529,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
67.0% / 70.0%
Spread
4.5%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 34 minutos
14 jul 26, 2:3416 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes69%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly alleges interference by a foreign actor has occurred in any US election held after the 2016 US presidential election between market creation and July 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying interference includes, but is not limited to: manipulation of vote tallies or voting machines; hacking of election infrastructure; casting of fraudulent ballots; coordinated disinformation or influence campaigns intended to alter the election's outcome; or illegal foreign funding of campaigns.
- Allegations limited to procedural irregularities, administrative errors, ordinary lobbying, legal foreign media coverage, or fraud of domestic or unspecified origin will not qualify.
- The alleged interference must be attributed to a specific foreign government, foreign state-affiliated entity, foreign organization, or foreign nationals acting in that capacity.
- The actor must be identified at least at the national level (e.g., "China," "Russian operatives," "Iranian hackers").