SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
2.3 pts (24h)ExchangeOne-OffIASpaceCorporate ActionsEquitiesTecnologíaBusiness & Corporate1a
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
SpaceX 55%+2.3pt
Calidad del mercado
34 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
52,4 €
Liquidez
180,8 €
Baja liquidezCompra / Venta
25.7% / 84.9%
Spread
59.2 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
5
Cambio 7d
-4.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
30 ene 26, 23:19 UTC31 dic 27, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to “SpaceX” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to “OpenAI” if the official closing price for OpenAI’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day.
- This market will resolve to the company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, if the other company does not complete an IPO within the market timeframe.
- This market will resolve to the IPOed company as soon as it becomes impossible for the other company to complete an IPO within the market timeframe, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- This market will resolve 50-50 if: - Neither IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. - Both SpaceX and OpenAI complete an IPO within this market's timeframe, and their IPO closing market capitalizations are exactly equal. - Both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
- Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
