Will Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffPolíticaElecciónMiddle East7h
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
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65 / 100
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16,4 €
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7,8 mil €
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0.2 pt
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1
Cambio 7d
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
19 ago 26, 12:09 UTC8 sept 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Ben-Gvir be a minister in the thirty-eighth government of Israel?
Manifold MarketsReglas
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026.
- Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir both appear as candidates on the same party list submitted to the Central Elections Committee to contest the 2026 Knesset elections.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A list on which both individuals appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions either individual occupies on the list.
- If either individual does not appear on any party list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.