PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actualNo 84%+0.0pt
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
178,6 €
Liquidez
5,8 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
15.0% / 17.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoCambio 7d
+3.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
7 nov 25, 21:2031 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes16%
Comparar plataformas· No
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMejor en general88% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 83% | +66pt | 1,7 mil € | 51 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
| PolymarketEsta página | Media | 84% | +67pt | 178,6 € | 5,8 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Futuur95% de coincidencia · auto | Baja | 83% | +66pt | 0 € | 910,5 € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Futuur
NYSE circuit breaker in 2026?
5m
83%
17%
33 • Baja calidadSpread desconocidoBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total21,2 €
Volumen 24h0 €
FUTUURTambién disponible en Kalshi
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
0.1 pts5m
83%
-0.1pt17%
72 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoAlta liquidez
Volumen total140,5 mil €
Volumen 24h1,7 mil €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$2032 jul26d de datos28 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a marketwide circuit breaker is triggered on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) at any time between November 7, 2025, and December 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A marketwide circuit breaker is defined as a trading halt that is initiated due to significant declines in the S&P 500 Index, specifically a Level 1, Level 2, or Level 3 halt as per NYSE rules.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NYSE, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.