PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
4.1M-4.3M 30.6%+3.5ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
72 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,4 mil €
Liquidez
44,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.8 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-42.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:23 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
South Carolina Senate Election: Turnout
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FutuurReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 606,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 721 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 resultados más
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 183,4 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 411,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket cotiza 4.1M-4.3M al 31% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout?
- Está previsto que North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina.
- ¿Dónde más está listado North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.