PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Péter Magyar (100%)
Datos de resolución no verificados
Este resultado se infiere o no está respaldado por evidencia de liquidación de nivel proveedor.
Probabilidad implícita actual
Péter Magyar 100%+0.1ptLíder entre 26 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
309,4 mil €
Liquidez
5 M €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+0.3 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 79 días
Desactualizado24 jul 25, 22:0512 abr 26, 0:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Péter Magyar100%
Other0%
Person Q0%
Person R0%
Person S0%
Person T0%
Person U0%
Viktor Orbán0%
Person P0%
Klára Dobrev0%
László Toroczkai0%
István Kapitány0%
János Lázár0%
Person C0%
Person D0%
Person E0%
Person F0%
Person G0%
Person H0%
Person I0%
Person J0%
Person K0%
Person L0%
Person M0%
Person N0%
Person O0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
Comparar plataformas· Péter Magyar
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 100% | — | 309,4 mil € | 5 M € | hace 79 días | |
 Manifold Markets80% de coincidencia · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | hace 94 días | Abrir → |
También disponible en Manifold Markets
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Cerrados
Resuelto
Péter Magyar (99.1%)
99.1%
0.7%
0.2%
Pronóstico comunitario54 pronosticadoresTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
- This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.
- To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister.
- Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.