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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Ciencia
  3. Megaquake by June 30?
Megaquake by June 30?

Megaquake by June 30?

1.0% (24h)One-OffCiencia18d
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 7%-0.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

6,4 €

Liquidez

5,5 mil €

Liquidez media
Compra / Venta

6.0% / 7.0%

Spread

16.7%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 5 minutos

29 dic 25, 23:0730 jun 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes7%

Reglas

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,867.10+2.52%EthereumETH$1,658.07+1.88%SolanaSOL$65.28+1.86%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.73%XRPXRP$1.12+0.74%BNBBNB$596.82+1.84%

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Reglas

A "megaquake" is defined as an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 or greater.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 8.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
  • If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the seventh day after the resolution time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source.
  • If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.