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  1. Mercados de Predicción
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  3. KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory

PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección
PolymarketPolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión

Este mercado está cerrado y esperando una resolución confirmada.

Probabilidad implícita actual
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+ 99%-0.1%
Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado

56 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

30,3 €

Liquidez

36,6 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

0.1% / 0.2%

Spread

100.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

+0.1%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

18 may 26, 15:1819 may 26, 0:00

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad
Gallrein 9%+
Gallrein 9%+
-0.1%
99%
Gallrein 6-9%
Gallrein 6-9%
+0.1%
1%
Massie 6%+
Massie 6%+
0%
Gallrein 3-6%
Gallrein 3-6%
0%
Massie 3-6%
Massie 3-6%
0%
Gallrein <3%
Gallrein <3%
0%

Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.

KalshiTambién disponible en Kalshi

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Margin of victory in the KY-04 Republican primary?

Cerrados

Resuelto

Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)

Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%
1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%
0%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
Ed Gallrein, ≥20%
0%

+7 resultados más

44 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez media
Volumen total41,2 mil €
Volumen 24h63,8 €
KalshiKALSHI

Reglas

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Activos en estos temas

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Reglas

The KY-04 Republican Primary is currently scheduled to take place on May 19, 2026

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
  • For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
  • Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
  • If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
  • If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.