KalshiCerradoComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónEste mercado se resolvió: Ed Gallrein, 5-10% (95%)
Resuelto: 9 jun 2026, 0:56
Resultado Ganador
Ed Gallrein, 5-10%
A 7 días
—
A 24 horas
—
Probabilidad implícita actualEd Gallrein, 10-15% 1%Líder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
44 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
63,8 €
Liquidez
17,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
0.3% / 0.9%
Spread
200.0%
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 días
Desactualizado1 abr 26, 14:0019 may 27, 14:00
Cronología de Probabilidad
Thomas Massie, 5-10%0%
Thomas Massie, 10-15%0%
Ed Gallrein, 10-15%1%
Ed Gallrein, 0-5%0%
Ed Gallrein, 15-20%0%
1%
95%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Este mercado ha cerrado. El trading simulado solo está disponible en mercados abiertos.
También disponible en Polymarket
KY-04 Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Cerrados
-0.1%99%
1%
0%
+5 resultados más
56 • Calidad mediaSpread amplioAlta liquidez
Volumen total166,6 mil €
Volumen 24h30,3 €
POLYMARKETReglas
If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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If the margin of victory for Ed Gallrein in the 2026 KY-04 Republican primary falls within 20% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ed Gallrein minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For raw votes: the total votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ed Gallrein if Ed Gallrein wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Ed Gallrein loses.
- For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein wins, or the electoral votes received by Ed Gallrein minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Ed Gallrein does not.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.