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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Fed
  3. Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

0.1% (24h)FedOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 1%
Calidad del mercado

73 / 100

Calidad media
Volumen 24h

89,5 mil €

Liquidez

69,1 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venta

0.4% / 0.9%

Spread

125.0%

Spread amplio
Cambio 7d

-1.1%

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 4 minutos

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes1%

Reglas

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.

Activos Sensibles al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,186.22+0.79%EthereumETH$1,642.61+0.24%SolanaSOL$64.90-0.30%

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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

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160,9 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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68,1 mil €
Sí: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

60,8 mil €
Pause–Pause–Pause: 99%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

12,1 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

Fed funds rate after Jun 2026 meeting?

727,5 €
Above 3.75%: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

484,8 €
Fed maintains rate: 92%KalshiKALSHI

Activos en estos temas

DogecoinDOGE$0.0842-0.52%BNBBNB$593.10+0.22%XRPXRP$1.12-1.11%CardanoADA$0.1631-1.01%HyperliquidHYPE$54.33-5.11%LitecoinLTC$42.29-1.39%

Noticias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Reglas

The Fed interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.

Polymarket
  • The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Fed decreases the upper bound of the target federal funds range as a result of the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No"
  • The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after the first FOMC Meeting for which Kevin Warsh holds the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve.
  • The FOMC calendar may be viewed at: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.