PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
54.0–54.9 30%+2.0ptLíder entre 10 opciones
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,8 mil €
Liquidez
11,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoComments
0
Cambio 7d
-10.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
4 ago 26, 22:201 sept 26, 6:00
Tendencias
Reglas
This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).
- A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the manufacturing sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
- This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Manufacturing PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business.
- The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Manufacturing PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Manufacturing PMI registered 52.7 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage.
Mercados abiertos
Macro & Economy
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- Volumen total
- 1,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
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KALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
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- Above 138 million+4.0pt94%
- Above 140 million-3.0pt80%
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KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Inflation+3.0pt91%
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- No91%
- Yes9%
- Volumen total
- 2,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 6,7 mil €
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- Above -25,000+1.0pt85%
- Above 0+4.0pt77%
- Above 20,000+5.0pt71%
+10 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
- Before Jan 1, 2027+2.0pt17%
- Before Jul 1, 20261%
- Volumen total
- 249,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket cotiza 54.0–54.9 al 30% a fecha de 26 de agosto de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Está previsto que ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 se resuelva el 1 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a market about the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM).