PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 85.4%Líder entre 8 opciones
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
22,2 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
14.0% / 15.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
-4.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 25 minutos
16 dic 25, 17:014 nov 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Democratic Party82%
Comparar plataformas· Democratic Party
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Baja | 82% | — | 0 € | 22,2 mil € | hace 25 minutos | |
 Kalshi60% de coincidencia · verificado | Baja | 90% | — | 0 € | 10,2 mil € | hace 25 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
IN-01 House winner?
1a
90.9%
9.1%
49 • Baja calidadSpread amplioLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total19,9 mil €
Volumen 24h0 €
KALSHIReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$1506 jul7d de datos23 jul
Mercados Relacionados
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
478,8 mil €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
307,5 mil €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
181,5 mil €Jay Collins: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Which party will win the U.S. House?
68,7 mil €Republican Party: 16%KALSHI
KALSHI
Trump out as President by July 31?
27,9 mil €Sí: 0%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
New York Governor winner?
15,6 mil €Bruce Blakeman: 9%KALSHI
KALSHIActivos en estos temas
Noticias Relacionadas
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsReglas
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.