PolymarketCerradoComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Very Strong Typhoon
Resuelto: 1 sept 2026, 11:21
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 sept 2026, 11:20 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidad implícita actual
Very Strong Typhoon 100%+0.4ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
211,1 €
Liquidez
86,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+1.9 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 días
Desactualizado20 ago 26, 15:12 UTC1 sept 26, 3:59 UTC
Cronología de Probabilidad
Very Strong Typhoon100%
Severe Tropical Storm0%
Violent Typhoon0%
Typhoon0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Reglas
This market resolves based on the maximum intensity that the named outcome Saudel (JMA designation T2618) reaches at any point on or before 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2026, using the Japan Meteorological Agency's (JMA) advisories (https://www.jma.go.jp/bosai/map.html#contents=typhoon&lang=en).
- Resolution is by wind speed: take the highest 10-minute maximum sustained wind speed JMA reports for Saudel in any single advisory during its lifetime, and the market for the one category whose range contains that value resolves "Yes." The categories are defined solely by these inclusive knot ranges: the named outcome (34-47 kt), the named outcome (48-63 kt), Typhoon (64-84 kt), the named outcome (85-104 kt), and the named outcome (105 kt or higher).
- These names label the wind-speed ranges; JMA's own strength wording need not appear in an advisory for a category to resolve.
- The peak must occur on or before the deadline, though the confirming JMA data may be published later.
- Saudel is already a the named outcome, so its peak is at least "the named outcome".
- The wind speed in JMA's issued advisories is final and is not changed by any later reclassification or post-season best-track reanalysis.
