How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
1.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
2 41.8%+1.5ptLíder entre 7 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
67 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,6 €
Liquidez
53,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+11.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
2 jul 26, 21:24 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Democrats win Maine, Pennsylvania and Minnesota Governor elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?
PolymarketIowa Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketAlaska Senate and Governor Combo
PolymarketWhich 2027 gubernatorial elections will Republicans win?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiReglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of US Senate and Gubernatorial elections won by the Republican Party in the 2026 midterm elections in states that were won by Kamala Harris in the 2024 US Presidential Election.
- All Gubernatorial elections, and all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress, that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 are included.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat, even if they take place after November 2026.
- Vacant offices for which no election or special election to fill the office is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will not be considered.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member or governor was elected.