Probabilidad implícita actual
15%+ 85.4%+5.0ptLíder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
50 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
137,1 €
Liquidez
43,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
83.0% / 92.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+24.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 22 minutos
4 jul 26, 0:5730 jul 26, 23:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
15%+88%
Tendencia de volumen
$1564 jul25d de datos28 jul
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The 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on July 30, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the final round of the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election.
- The final round will be the first round if a candidate wins outright, or the runoff if no candidate wins outright.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.