Probabilidad implícita actual
Les Républicains 97%Líder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
68 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
11,4 €
Liquidez
24,1 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.2 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
-0.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
19 ago 26, 20:15 UTC12 oct 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.
- The new senators are currently scheduled to take office on October 1, 2026, and the deadline for submitting new political-group membership lists and political declarations is currently set for October 5, 2026, at 4:00 PM CEST.
- This market will resolve according to which of the following three Senate groups holds the most French Senate seats as of October 12, 2026, 4:00 PM CEST: the Groupe the named outcome, the Groupe Socialiste, Écologiste et Républicain (SER), or the Groupe the named outcome.
- The seat count for each group will be its total membership as published by the French Senate (senat.fr), counting members (membres), related (apparentés), and affiliated (rattachés).
- A group will qualify as one of the three listed groups if it satisfies at least one of the following: - Its official name includes the listed group's name or a clear variant thereof; - Its political declaration published in the Official Journal (Journal Officiel) of France identifies it as a continuation of the listed group; or - It is publicly recognized as the continuation of the listed group, and this characterization is confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting.
- A group that changes its name will continue to qualify if it meets at least one of the criteria above.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de French Senate Election: Most Seats??
- Polymarket cotiza Les Républicains al 97% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve French Senate Election: Most Seats??
- Está previsto que French Senate Election: Most Seats? se resuelva el 12 de octubre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida French Senate Election: Most Seats??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The 2026 French Senate election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, renewing série 2 — 178 of the Senate's 348 seats.