PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
40-64 63.1%+5.0ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
40-64 63.1%+5.0ptCalidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
10,8 mil €
Liquidez
60,7 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 minutos
26 sept 26, 16:07 UTC30 sept 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Elon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAriana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 21, 2026 - September 27, 2026)
KalshiReglas
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 28 12:00 PM ET to September 30, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.