PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónProbabilidad implícita actualSí 100%
Calidad del mercado
79 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
938,8 €
Liquidez
9,3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
99.6% / 99.8%
Spread
0.2%
Spread estrechoCambio 7d
+1.7%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
23 dic 25, 22:4631 dic 26, 0:00
Tendencias
100%
0%
Resultado elegido
Yes100%
También disponible en Manifold Markets
ECB rate hike in 2026?
6m
97.9%
2.1%
Pronóstico comunitario15 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total8,2 mil €
Volumen 24h1 mil €
MANIFOLD MARKETSReglas
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
- If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.