PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
$5+ 96%+0.1ptLíder entre 4 opciones
$5+ 96%+0.1ptCalidad del mercado
38 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
2,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
24.0 pt
Spread amplioComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 minuto
24 sept 26, 8:54 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Polymarket
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Orden mínima (participaciones):
- 5
- Incremento de precio:
- 0,1 puntos porcentuales
- Comisiones:
- Sí
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketClaude Sonnet 5 METR 50% time horizon
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic release Claude Sonnet 5.5 by October 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Sonnet model (5.1+) debuts at a standard output token price of at least the specified price, in USD per million tokens.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Sonnet" and be designated as version 5.1 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.1 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Sonnet 4.6 or Claude Sonnet 5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Sonnet 6, while models whose name does not include "Sonnet" or which retain a version designation below 5.1, such as Claude Sonnet 5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- The debut price is the “Base tokens” output price for default global inference, at the rate that does not trigger a long-context surcharge, announced by Anthropic or listed on its official API pricing page when the model is first made available to the general public.
- An introductory price qualifies.
