Probabilidad implícita actual
No 98%
Calidad del mercado
≤49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
2.4% / 2.5%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
9 abr 26, 13:54 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
PolymarketWill any of the following be confirmed to be Satoshi Nakamoto?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?
KalshiWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto
PolymarketReglas
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence.
- If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify.
- Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercados abiertos
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,1 M €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.7pt97%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 319,9 mil €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 resultados más
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+15.0pt81%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+8.0pt76%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
+36 resultados más
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket cotiza No al 98% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Está previsto que Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31??
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.