Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 65.4%
Pronosticadores
7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 37 minutos
21 mar 26, 0:10 UTC30 jun 30, 4:00 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if Zijin Mining Group (HK:2899) produced more than 2,000 tonnes of tungsten (measured as WO3 equivalent) in the 2029 calendar year, as reported in the company's annual results.
- What is being measured: Total tungsten output from all Zijin assets worldwide for the full calendar year 2029.
- As of March 2026, Zijin has zero tungsten production.
- A YES outcome requires Zijin to have announced, financed, and ramped a new tungsten asset within the next four years.
- Why this matters: Zijin's investment arm Gold Mountains ($6bn AUM) publicly stated in March 2026 it is looking to acquire tungsten assets via streaming or equity deals, driven by tungsten prices more than doubling after China imposed export curbs.
- This market tracks whether that intent translates into material production.
