Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83%
Pronosticadores
18
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado16 sept 23, 20:03 UTC1 ene 34, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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Manifold MarketsReglas
For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.
- Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.
- Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation.
- For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.
Mercados abiertos
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 104,6 mil €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 5,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 79,6 mil €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 185,8 mil €
- Volumen 24h
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 resultados más
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 resultados más
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034??
- Está previsto que Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2034.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.