Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.8%
Pronosticadores
3
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado19 may 26, 21:21 UTC31 dic 55, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an archaeological discovery is officially confirmed by a reputable academic institution, government heritage agency (such as the National Cultural Heritage Administration of China), or a peer-reviewed archaeological journal to be the remains or grave of Yuan Shao by 11:59 PM UTC on December 31, 2055.
- If no such discovery is confirmed by this date, or if a discovery is claimed but not verified by the aforementioned authorities, the market resolves to NO.
- In the event of conflicting expert reports, the consensus of established archaeological bodies will determine the outcome.
- Yuan Shao (died 202 CE) was a powerful warlord during the late Eastern Han dynasty and a central figure in the events leading to the Three Kingdoms period in China.
- Despite his historical prominence, the location of his tomb remains unknown.