Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 83.2%
Pronosticadores
42
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado17 jun 23, 6:20 UTC31 dic 29, 11:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will Tether collapse before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
KalshiWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketWill Tether collapse before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Tether collapse before 2027?
Manifold MarketsReglas
YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.
- Will use price data from one of the top exchanges at the time (e.g. today in 2023 I would use Coinbase).
- Background: USDT is a stablecoin managed by Tether (company).
- There have been rumors for a long time that Tether may not have enough assets to fully back the USDT stablecoins distributed in the crypto-economy (~$80B).
- If it were found that tether insolvent, or something else happened to shake confidence in USDT's redeemability to USD, then the price could depeg.
- I picked 1 week so it would indicate a serious issue, i.e. probably irredeemable reputational damage and likely leading to users abandoning the stablecoin.
Mercados abiertos
StablecoinPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000+0.6pt100%
- 68,000+0.1pt100%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 496,6 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 381,7 mil €
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900+0.5pt100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.6pt100%
+8 resultados más
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- 72,000+0.1pt99%
- 74,000+0.5pt98%
- 76,00092%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.3pt99%
- 72,000+0.3pt99%
- 74,000-0.3pt96%
+8 resultados más
POLYMARKETBitcoin price on September 9?
- 78,000-80,000+16.5pt60.2%
- 76,000-78,000+4.5pt26.2%
- 80,000-82,000-13.5pt10.7%
+8 resultados más
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 13?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 11?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 10?
- Ethereum above ___ on September 13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- Bitcoin price on September 12?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
- Total commitments for the Linera public sale on Sonar
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Ethereum price on September 9?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030?
- Está previsto que Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030 se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2029.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will USDT (tether) fail by 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: YES = USDT < $0.98 for 7 days.