Manifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (99%)
Resuelto: 13 oct 2026, 12:53
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Resultado Ganador
Yes
A 7 días
80%
A 24 horas
—
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 14 oct 2026, 0:50 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes99%
No1%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
When will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)
Manifold MarketsWhat geographic features will Trump rename? [read description]
Manifold MarketsWill an LLM Built on a State Space Model Architecture Have Been SOTA at any Point before EOY 2027? [READ DESCRIPTION]
Manifold MarketsWho will control the House?
KalshiUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Yemen ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketReglas
Resolves Yes if Trump does not win Nobel Peace Prize 2026 and openly criticizes the Nobel committee for not awarding the prize to him before this market closes.