Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.7%
Pronosticadores
130
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
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Actualizado hace 10 minutos
13 oct 24, 21:55 UTC31 dic 26, 13:29 UTC
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Will Tesla officially report building 10,000+ Optimus robots in 2026 (1/5 of its own 50k-100k target)?
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KalshiReglas
“My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”
- https://x.com/SmokeAwayyy/status/1801400924096839732
- [tweet]This was a prediction made during the Tesla 2024 Annual Stockholder Meeting.
- I take "working" to mean autonomously deployed in factories and performing productive labor.
- Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified their interpretation of productive labor:
- Robots dancing as entertainers for the human factory workforce would be considered as performing productive labor.
Mercados abiertos
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 1,3 M €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 1,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 802,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volumen total
- 736,5 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 585,6 mil €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 resultados más
- Volumen total
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- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
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KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 resultados más
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 94% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027??
- Está previsto que Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be over 10,000 Optimus robots working at Tesla before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: “My prediction is next year we’ll have over a thousand, maybe a few thousand, Optimus robots working at Tesla.”