Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 96.7%
Pronosticadores
21
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado20 jun 24, 20:11 UTC30 jun 27, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiReglas
There are not currently plans for such a test.
- However, the Boe-CFT Crewed Flight Test has experienced problems, and there is speculation about another test flight before the first operational flight Starliner-1.
- Will such a flight happen?
- [tweet]Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is an uncrewed "operational" flight named Starliner-1, this market will resolve No, even if it functions as another test flight in practice.
- The key criterion is whether the flight occurs before the Starliner-1 flight (by name), not whether it's operationally a test.
- If the resolution becomes unclear, the creator will seek an uninvolved second opinion.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 97% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- Está previsto que Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? se resuelva el 30 de junio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: There are not currently plans for such a test.