Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 73.9%
Pronosticadores
44
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 12 minutos
30 may 24, 15:05 UTC31 dic 50, 22:59 UTC
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Will NASA start building a moon base before 2036?
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resolved YES, if there is a base on the lunar surface permanently inhabitated by humans for at least 3 months, and all revenues of the base exceed all costs.
- Possible costs:
- Initial construction, launch, salary, maintanance, etc. - but not the basic research & developement to make a moon base possible.
- Possible revenues:
- mining exports (such as helium 3), research contracts, space tourism, satellite launch contracts, real estate, manufacturing, refueling, entertainment, etc.
