Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 74.9%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado29 dic 23, 1:15 UTC1 mar 55, 22:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Mars, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Mars must occur within a distance of no more than 1 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-3a9ca9fc5ea2
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-76d02d43aa2c
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-m-3fcd58236f90
Mercados abiertos
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 89,7 mil €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Volumen total
- 101,9 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 26,2 mil €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 resultados más
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 resultados más
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Volumen total
- 817,5 mil €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 75% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055??
- Está previsto que Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055? se resuelva el 1 de marzo de 2055.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Mars, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.