Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 76.3%
Pronosticadores
19
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 horas
Desactualizado21 dic 23, 14:57 UTC1 nov 35, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a 51st state by the end of 2034?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a 51st state by the end of 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Venezuela become 51st state?
PolymarketWill Trump add a 51st state to the US?
KalshiWhat will the 51st state of the United States of America be?
Manifold MarketsReglas
@/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e
- @/strutheo/will-there-be-a-51st-state-by-the-e-5d31e0e1cfd2
Mercados abiertos
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 605,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 695,7 mil €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 resultados más
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 resultados más
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volumen total
- 24,3 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 294,7 mil €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 54,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 291,3 mil €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 76% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035??
- Está previsto que Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2035.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will there be a 51st state by Halloween 2035??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: @/strutheo/will-the-51st-state-be-washington-d